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BUSINESS OF
                                                                                           MEDICINE






        their volumes of services. People do what we pay them to do.  may include a much broader scope of patient health, health out-
          That was essentially a price-control system that did little or  comes and quality measures. But it is still essentially a capitated
        nothing to curtail volumes of services. In fact, it paid providers  system, albeit a conceptually better one. If all of the providers in-
        to increase the volumes of health services. And it was still bank-  volved work together to produce better health outcomes at lower
        rupting the country. So we tried capitating the money we gave to  cost, everyone shares in the cost savings. However, it still does not
        providers. We provided a fixed total amount of money to certain  address the mobility of the American population. If an ACO in
        healthcare providers for a fixed population of patients, regardless  San Antonio invests in the preventative care of its patient base,
        of what it cost to treat them, or how much volume of health serv-  and every three years a portion of that population moves on to
        ices they needed. OK, that addressed the volume issue. This con-  some other ACO, the cost is incurred, but some other ACO gains
        cept was promoted as “managed care.” The idea was that if a  the benefits of the healthier patients. If there were only a limited
        provider invested in preventative care for their patient population,  number of ACOs in the entire country, then as patients cycled
        the patients would stay healthier, and the provider would gain the  from one to another, all would eventually gain the benefits of
        benefit over the long run of healthier patients who are less costly  healthier patients. But we have nowhere near that kind of a closed
        to treat. And thus the provider would benefit financially.  system in our country.
                                                                I have advocated for years that what we may need is an oligop-
        MOBILITY                                               oly of three or four national-scale health systems. That way, a pa-

          But we forgot to consider the mobility of the American popu-  tient could sign on with one plan and stay with it for life, no
        lation. On average, every three years, Americans change employ-  matter where they moved throughout the country. The providers
        ers, or move to a different geographic region. So if a capitated  would gain the long-run economic benefits of maintaining health-
        provider  invested  in  preventative  care  for  their  patients,  the  ier patients. It could be made up of large, private-sector health
        provider incurred the additional up-front costs. But, when the  plans. But could a limited number of national health plans collude
        patients  moved  away  or  changed  health  plans,  some  other  to fix prices at artificially high levels? Certainly. But price regula-
        provider would gain all the benefits of the healthier patients. And  tion is nothing new — and PPS is already a price-control system.
        the reverse also was true. If a provider saved money up front by  So I don’t know if we’d lose much on that front. Would they ac-
        deferring treatments or undertreating patients, after the patients  cept the low-income and high-cost pre-existing condition pa-
        moved away some other provider would have to incur the extra  tients? Would they refrain from annual or lifetime cost limits?
        costs of treating the sicker patients. So we pitted the financial in-  What about patients who could not afford the premiums? Those
        centives directly against appropriate levels of care. From an eco-  factors would all have to be stipulated by law as conditions for
        nomic perspective, we ended up with a system of “managed cost,”  health plan licensure. Would it bring down costs of care, or just
        rather than “managed care.”                            create another bloated bureaucracy, riddled with vested interests?
          So now we are trying bundled payments and accountable care  Maybe. One thing is for certain: They will do what we pay them
        organizations (ACOs). Bundled payments are essentially “case-  to do.
        capitation.”  In  bundled  payments,  we  set  a  fixed  amount  of
        money for all of the treatment needed for a specific patient case   Dana A. Forgione, PhD, CPA, CMA, CFE is the
        (or types of patient cases). If all of the providers involved find  Janey S. Briscoe Endowed Chair in the Business of
        ways to reduce the costs of care (subject to certain quality stan-  Health program at the University of Texas at San An-
        dards), everyone benefits from a share of the savings — the physi-  tonio. He is also an adjunct professor in the School of
        cian, the hospital, the payer and even the patient — through      Medicine, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery,
        reduced deductibles or co-payment amounts. There is no partic-  Department of Pediatrics and School of Public Health, all at the Uni-
        ular emphasis on preventative care. On the other hand, ACOs  versity of Texas.


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